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A development economist, Dr Chiwuike Uba, has commended the National Assembly for passage of the 2021 National Budget with a record 74 days of intensive deliberations.
Uba, who is also Board Chairman of Amaka Chiwuike-Uba Foundation (ACUF), gave the commendation in a statement made available to newsmen in Enugu on Sunday,
The 2021 National Budget, was christened or themed as “Budget of Economic Recovery and Resilience’’.
The economist said that the decision by the National Assembly to increase the budget from N13.08 trillion to N13.58 trillion (3.9 per cent increase) had once again, exposed the weaknesses inherent in the legal framework for fiscal transparency in the country.
He said: “Some of the budget parameters are realistic, while a greater percentage of the parameters/estimates are overtly too ambitious and unrealistic.
“The oil price benchmark and oil production output are realizable; while the inflation rate of 11.95 per cent, the exchange rate of N379/$1, a growth rate of 3 per cent, revenue and fiscal deficits projection appear very unrealistic, given the available data and trends.
“In fact, pegging the exchange at N379/$1 creates room for the black market, round-tripping, and multiple exchange rate regimes.
“More so, given the increasing cost of goods and services, the current inflation rate of over 14 per cent is expected to be on the rise till sometime in June 2021.
“Therefore, even before the implementation commencement, the 2021 budget is already having credibility issues,’’ he said.
Uba noted that the budget estimates and sectoral allocations do not align with the theme of the 2021 budget.
“Since the allocations to key social and economic sectors are too poor to jumpstart or reposition the economy on a recovery trajectory; while the budget deficit of 3.64 per cent of GDP is also above the 3 per cent threshold set by the Fiscal Responsibility Law.
“In addition to the weaknesses occasioned by the non-specificity of the power of the legislature to increase the budget presented by the executive, the principle of transparency and accountability in governance are impaired.
“This is even more worrisome when the citizens are inadequately consulted or engaged in budget planning, implementation, monitoring, and evaluation and in most cases, the national and sub-national budgets do not adequately reflect the expectations and aspirations of the citizens’’.
Uba noted that the revenue projection of N8.3 trillion is unrealistic given the previous years’ revenue performances, adding that since 2015, the actual revenue of the Federal Government had only increased from N3.24trillion in 2015 to N3.86trillion as of 2019, representing 20 per cent increase.
“On the other hand, public debts and unfunded deficits have witnessed a steady increase.
“The budget deficit increased from a deficit of N1.52trillion in 2015 to N5.2trillion in 2021, and public debt of less than N10trillion as of June 2015 to N25.2trillion as of June 2020.
“In the same vein, the debt service increased from N624billion in 2014 to N3.3trillion in 2021.
“Painfully, the budgeted 2021 fiscal deficit will increase at the end of 2021, with its attendant implications on debt servicing,’’ he said.
The economist noted that the country’s financial difficulty is made worse with the increasing cost of governance, adding that the recurrent expenditure had continued to increase despite the hardship many Nigerians are passing through.
Uba also urged the government to see that monies meant for frivolous spendings such as entertainment, calendars, souvenirs, as well as purchase of catering materials, purchase of office buildings/payment for accommodation are checked and stopped.
