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The International Monetary Fund has predicted that Nigeria’s economy will reach $1.85tn by 2029, in Purchasing Power Parity terms.
This forecast suggests a significant growth trajectory for the country’s economy over the next five years.
According to the IMF data obtained by PUNCH Online, Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product in PPP terms has been steadily increasing, from $1.36tn in 2023 to $1.852tn in 2029.
GDP is the most commonly used single measure of a country’s overall economic activity. PPP is a theory that relates changes in exchange rates to changes in price levels between countries, allowing for more accurate international comparisons of economic data.
The data shows a consistent growth trend, with a notable increase of 5.5 per cent expected in 2029.
The Fund also predicted Nigeria’s share of global GDP based on PPP to reach 0.78 per cent by 2029.
This represents a slight increase from 0.77 per cent in 2023, indicating a steady growth trajectory for the country’s economy.
The country’s share of global GDP has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.775 per cent and 0.778 per cent from 2024 to 2028.
Economists believe that this positive outlook is a testament to the country’s efforts to diversify its economy, invest in infrastructure, and promote foreign investment.
Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, has faced significant challenges in recent years, including a recession in 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and a decline in oil prices.
Economist Shadrach Israel in an interview with our correspondent stated, “The IMF reports indicated that the government’s reforms and initiatives have contributed to the country’s economic growth.”
The trend of Nigeria’s GDP in PPP terms over the past few years indicates a steady recovery and growth. In 2024, the country’s GDP in PPP terms stood at $1.44tn, increasing to $1.51tn in 2025, and $1.587tn in 2026. The growth continued in 2027, with a GDP (PPP) of $1.67tn, and $1.759tn in 2028.
“The IMF’s prediction of Nigeria’s economic growth is a positive sign for the country’s future, indicating a potential for increased economic prosperity and development,” Israel noted.